User blog comment:God Bless the United States of America/WI: Northern "Bagration", 1944/@comment-461469-20170205055823

Interesting, but I think a major point here is: Would the Germans be in any shape to even try to surround the Soviet Armies in this scenario?

My guess is, similar to Kursk, the British may get wind of the plan through Ultra, give the info to the Soviets, and the Soviets would use it to their advantage. Stalin may have been a murderous sociopath, but he wasn't stupid: he would be willing to let the Germans try, again, to bash their head against Soviet Arms. The cost for the Soviet's might be high, and their would be the risk that the Germans may cut off the Soviets, but I think the Soviets would have been willing to take that risk.

If anything, it would just deplete German reserves and resources quicker, much like what the Battle of the Bulge did on the Western Front. It may have shortened the war by a few months, but there wouldn't be much more than a temporary set back. Hitler and the OKH's drive for the "victorious blow" to knock out one of their enemies, or at least to negotiate a peace, is horribly misguided. The constant offensives bled their resources, when defense could have been a more long term solution.