China (The Dragon Splits)

Officially the Peoples Republic of China (PRC), it is a large single-party Communist state located on Mainland China. It has recently faced rebellions within the Tibetan Region, with significant guerrilla fighting. On the international front, the PRC is involved in the Senkaku Islands dispute with Japan to the east South China Sea dispute with Brunei, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan, and Vietnam. On July 12, 2016, the UN arbitration filed against China by the Philippines went in favor of the latter. Analysts and geo-politicians agree that with the renewed Tibetan insurgency as well as losing the UN arbitration sued by the Philippines, China would soon be plunged into instability.

By mid-2016, China began experiencing another turbulent event: the 2016 Hong Kong uprising which was originally similar to the Umbrella Revolution two years prior. Hong Kongers took to the streets and in a publicized act, stormed a police station and captured riot gear, tear gas and some firearms. There were also reports of policemen defecting to the protestors. The Provisional Government of Hong Kong was formed, thus leading to the deployment of PLA forces via transport helicopters and a naval blockade. It was reported that the ROC sent special forces to aid the Provisional Government, yet Taiwan denies this. At the same time, tensions in Tibet and Xinjiang began to flare up. The PLA is currently deploying troops to these areas.

Analysts predict that the PRC may soon collapse by either 2017 or 2018 due to the multiple insurgencies occurring simultaneously.