Board Thread:Questions and Answers/@comment-10975360-20131014124545/@comment-13740085-20131121194723

Thing is, most Americans nowadays (around 60%) are centrists. While those registered with a particular party will most likely vote for it no matter what, the centrists are more easily swayed. The Tea Party's recent slump in likability after the Shutdown will probably have republican voter go for a more moderate candidate...like Christie. Heck, there was a "Democrats for Christie" rally. Still, like you said Sam, between now and 2016, its lot of time for people to goof up ("They'll cling to their guns and religion"/"You didn't build that") and/or wait until their opponent goofs up more (47%).