User blog comment:I am that guy/Question to the Community/@comment-4612798-20140508122835

Needs work.

I personally think its the POD that makes it ASB. If you really want Austria to beat Italy to the degree you are suggesting you're going to have rewind the POD a few years and let army and navy reforms (which you've slightly touched on above) bed-in and maybe alter cross-border attitudes a bit. Then you can let the scenario above run and it might make a bit more sense. June 28, 1914 (though still a deeply stupid day to go visiting Sarajevo) would just be another day, not the POD.

But at the moment it is ASB and should wear the ASB tag with pride.