Board Thread:Questions and Answers/@comment-10975360-20131014124545/@comment-10975360-20131026081855

in 1997 the polling was better, but they had labour with over 50% of the vote, they actually got 43%. Its also true that urban areas are more likely to vote labour, rural tory and your right, most polling was done in urban areas.

your right on both counts, humphrey would have won and clinton would have won. If you think about elections with strong third party bids (1912, 1924, 1948, 1968, 1980, 1992, 1996) tend to be realigning elections (with the exception of 1924 and 1996).