Board Thread:Questions and Answers/@comment-10975360-20131014124545/@comment-32656-20131115122638

To add on Castro: he has only been mayor for 4 years, and has declined to run for governor or senator prior to 2016. He's also unquestionably said he wouldn't try to run for a nomination in 2016.

If Clinton does not run, Biden gets it. If neither of them, my guess would be Howard Dean or Martin O'Malley.

For the lower half, depends on the top half. For Clinton, Biden, or Dean, it'd probably be someone from the west or midwest. O'Malley, more likely someone from the west.

Though, I'd prefer it the former governor of Montana ran for the nomination and won it. He's the only other person to publicly express interest in running, too.

With Lugar and Murk~, however, they ran in Republican states after making unpopular decisions. Christie doesn't really suffer from that problem, or Romney's, for that matter.

I imagine that Christie would not win the Iowa primary - but the New Hampshire one right after, he would. The more moderate states, he would clean up in, like Romney. That plus competition dropping out would give him the nomination, I think. Depends, mind, on if the other wing solidifies.

Barkley did indeed run for the role, and was a much-talked about potential nominee at the convention. Just wasn't as popular as other potential choices.

Biden, imo, is currently the same age Reagan was when elected, and in much better health with no family history of brain issues. The concept of "too old" doesn't exist.

Yeah - she wants to be president. Only way she leaves after a term is if she loses an election.

IATG, Dems currently have a major demographic advantage - and one with regards to policies, as well. She doesn't run, then it is low 50s instead of high 50s. Biden actually polls a bit ahead of the Repubs, normally, too.

O'Malley is more known than you think, too.

Warren is a Clinton supporter, and publicly at that.

Dean has not actually been out of politics. If Clinton does not run, he will.

The Repubs have now had two moderates in a row run and fail. Gets more and more likely as time goes on in that light that someone from the other wing gets nominated.

The recent show they put on, IATG, indicates they aren't losing any steam.

Glad to see that you can acknowledge the views of others, though. A lot of supporters of that bunch don't tend to. Heck, that view alone means they'd think you a moderate, lol.

If the Repubs don't nominate a tea party guy in 2016, they'll do it in 2020. One wing can only lose so many times before the other runs.