Board Thread:General Discussion/@comment-10975360-20140530130134/@comment-32656-20140611110710

Months. Months.

You say that they are irrelevant, but your actions speak otherwise. The extreme hatred of Thatcher is a glaringly obvious example.

Kind of obvious that that 21 point difference is an outlier, and holds no real basis. The degree that it is different is simply too large for it to have been anything other than an error in some form.

The polls in the week before she made that announcement had the Tories ranging from two to thirteen points behind, with the upper part of that range being a week prior, and the lower part just before. It's very obvious between that and the past polling numbers that the voters were leaning toward the Tories again.

Few more weeks, along with a boost to her support after a leadership win, and she'd be ahead. The poll boost from the successful war would be enough for a majority.

May want to look at those numbers again - your numbers are wrong.

You still aren't addressing how Major won with the tax still in force, and that it got replaced with something that was virtually identical, yet he still was popular anyway. You're also forgetting to take into account how even a single percentage point can lead to large majorities.