Board Thread:Questions and Answers/@comment-10975360-20131014124545/@comment-32656-20131119115242

Even though he gave that speech, however, Obama also had more political experience by that point on the one hand, and was still a US Senator by the time he ran for the nomination on the other. Castro's just done city government and the speech.

Castro has decidedly refused to do any of that at this time. My thought is that he's waiting a few more years for the demographics in Texas to tip over, and then run. Bet on him running against Cruz when his Senate seat is up for re-election in 2018.

Not at all laughable. Been plenty of "average" VPs that have ran for, and even won, the presidency.

With how primaries work in the US, and the timeframes involved, the areas he would win tend to be the ones that vote first. Easy lead - and the same thing happened for McCain and Romney. Both of them did poorly in the South, remember. And a lot of those primaries are not "winner take all" either. By and large, he can ignore the early one in the South and do fine.

Schweitzer, maybe. Not Warner. Doesn't work with the political views of the two on one hand, and geographically on the other.

She won't. You don't go to all that effort to get it and not keep it. There is a very good reason why no one has ever done such a thing, Sam, unless they have no chance in Hades of winning themselves.

Barkley pulled out from contention during the convention because he realized he lacked support compared to other candidates, and that the votes for the other candidates was not going to split how he needed it to for him to have a shot. Age, nothing to do with it.

Biden has only been polling "badly" the last two weeks - i.e. since Christie's re-election. It is an obvious artificial boost because of that. Prior to then, Biden was either tied with him or slightly ahead, depending on the week.

Wrong about Reagan. The he almost won the nomination four years earlier - and polled better than Ford did nationally - speaks wonders about it. Heck, the man wasn't even the oldest guy to run by that point, and was in much better shape than several others. That Reagan won in 1984 at an even older age further discredits that opinion. And he didn't "sweep" anything, either.

Biden even in three years won;t be all that old. Numerous people have won the nominations for part of the ticket and even the presidency at his age or older, and in far worse health - he's actually in good health, fyi - or even stood for re-election. Heck, a VP slot near the turn of the century was filled by a guy in his 80s. McCain won the nomination at 72, even, and Bush Sr. would have hit 70 soon after being inaugurated had he won a second term. When Dole was the nominee in 1996 he to was over 70. Heck, even Clinton will hit 70, if she wins, within a year of being elected. Biden's only got 5 years on her, Sam.

The idea that he could not win the nomination or the general election because of his age has no factual basis, Sam.

Not impossible that it could, Sam.