Board Thread:Questions and Answers/@comment-10975360-20131014124545/@comment-32656-20131107084636

Lafollete's party remained in power in Wisconsin - where, really, it was based and almost exclusively located - until the 1940s. Long outlasted the death of its leader.

Eisenhower was what could be called a "New Deal Republican." Many of those who were part of the ND coalition actually supported and voted for him.

You mean 1964 for Goldwater.

The idea that the NC coalition included Southerners is a bit of an exaggeration. Yes, they did vote Democratic, but... that's more because that is what they did (i.e. not vote Republican) than anything. This is where Democrats came from that FDR had problems getting to "toe the line."

All told, they did support the Dems until 1948, and after that most still did until 1968, though you can see the start of that as early as the early 1960s.

Yes, Goldwater being so extreme led to LBJ getting a higher share of the vote, and probably extended the ND coalition another four years.

1968 was definitely when you see the coalition collapse for good, however.

Too early for a break, I think - but a semi-independent bid is not unlikely. Nominating a moderate - Christie is probably the most likely one of these, but it's too early to know for sure (let's put it this way: McCain was not the first moderate to be favored for 2008, remember) - for the next run would have a fairly good odds of making it happen.

Could actually see, if a far-right member gets the nomination, a moderate running the same kind of bid, ala~ 1980.