Smokey Bear

Smokey Bear is a timeline begining with a fire in a Minsk apartment block on the 10th August 2014 leading to protests in Belarus followed by a Russian intervention in support of government of Belarus. The west applies strong sanctions to Russia leaving Russia with the choice to either withdraw or expand and so on the 9th July 2015 they launch an invasion of Poland and take Berlin 3 days later.

Fire
At 3:00 AM of 10th August 2014 an industiral worker going to begin the early morning shift while turning his light on the bulb blows and this causes a spark which sets his apartment on fire. In the ensuring inferno 21 people are killed including 6 children.