Board Thread:Timeline Discussions/@comment-4919678-20150209141504/@comment-1310192-20150210212959

The only way to possibly make Mexico hold its position and become powerful is through a convoluted series of coincidences bordering on the ASB. You need to stop internal dischord between Liberals and Conservatives (mind you, with Liberals winning so that a unitary constitution isn't created), something which took centuries everywhere in Latin America. You need to prevent Santa Ana from overthrowing democratically elected presidents while at the same time maintaining him as a general. You need to keep Mexico's economy stable so that its relationship with Europe isn't a dump. You need to increase Mexican immigration north, or at least restrain American immigration west, and finally, you need to have the Whigs, rather than the Democrats, dominate between 1824 and the Civil War, so that there's no massive expansion.

If Mexico manages to evade all the frankly impossible civil wars, unstable periods and foreign interventions until gold is discovered and its population booms, it is possible that it might only lose Texas and not California, which on itself might be a massive bonus.

The United Kingdom will not intervene in favour of Mexico. If anything, what it would do would be sieze California from the Mexicans before the Americans got their hands on it, at which point a second War of 1812 breaks loose and the Americans take Yucatán and probably Sonora/Chihuahua from the Mexicans.