No Russia

In this timeline, the Russians lose the battle of Moscow and the Tsardom collapses. This leads to large scale migration of slavs out of Moscow and Polish controlled Russia while Sweden rules as suzerain over the eastern orthodox Kingdom of Novgorod. The Ottomans would later conquer Ukraine and the Caucauses. This timeline has an extremely changed world without the superpower of Russia.

The Time of Troubles-1612-1625
The point of divergence is in the battle of Moscow, where Russians attack the occupying Poles and force them back into the kremlin. In this timeline, however, the Russians lose and the Polish establish brutal control over the region. This causes a much longer and more exacerbated Time of Troubles where 50% of the East Slavic Population die and the rest migrate into Northern Russia, which has splintered into several city states. Sweden also wars with the Polish through the Pro-Swede Regime in Novgorod. Poles and Swedes clash at the battle of Pleskov, a decisive battle in the war and won by the Poles. Soon afterwards the Poles, busy with reorganizing and containing their conquered areas in Russia, signed a peace treaty with the Swedes that allowed them dominion over Novgorod and Northern Russia. Although both the Poles and the Swedes would lose men in this war, the true losers would be the east slavs, who found their people massacred and enslaved in the crossfire.