User blog comment:Likercat/KPD Victory?/@comment-24473740-20150117204034

Hi,

how do you envisage the victory?

A relative majority, being the strongest faction (at, say, 24 % or something) is not too unrealistic, depending on the reasons you can come up with for the electoral swing. The KPD would have needed partners for a coalition government then. The SPD was unwilling - and the KPD also followed the doctrine of "social fascists" back then, they wouldn`t have wanted the coalition, either. Any other party would be even more unlikely.

In that case, the good parliamentary position of the KPD would not have changed a lot. Someone like Brüning might still have been nominated by the centre-right parties and carried on with government ordinances instead of bills of parliament.

Things would be absolutely different with an absoute majority, somewhere near or above 48 % of the popular vote. Then, the KPD would certainly have started deep-reaching transformations, and things might have taken a Soviet-like turn, BUT: That would not have happened because of merely one election. AND: This voter turnout is highly unlikely. UNLESS you come up with a really convincing PoD before 1930, a reason for why the communist movement would be stronger in Germany. It might well have been, if one looks at the election results of 1919. I think, if you want a KPD victory in 1930, you need to go back a decade and prepare it...