Board Thread:General Discussion/@comment-10975360-20140530130134/@comment-10975360-20140602155529

after the poll tax, any chance of a tory majority vanished, she had long lost the benefit of the doubt politically. She would not have won a majority, john major just scraped one in 1992, as the economy was beginning to recover by then and he was a more popular leader than kinnock. In 1991, the economic situation was worse, and thatcher was less popular than kinnock. Thatcher would not have simply won an election because of the war, she didnt win 1983 because of the falklands, the economy was recovering then and the left vote divided. Churchill was a popular war leader, and still lost a landslide.

Thatcher would have won a plurality of votes, and of seats, but it would have been a hung parliament.

Major would not have won a large majority in 1991, look at polling from the time, Major briefly had a 2-3 point lead when he suceeded as leader, then fell back behind labour until just before the 1992 election.