User:Candiesrgood/Sandbox I

Turn

 * Korea: With the Papal States accepting the offer to assist Korean entry to Europe, the quota on active missionaries allowed on Korean soil is increased to five hundred as promised. The ratification of the "Treaty of Incheon" causes an influx of Arab merchants docking on Korean ports as well as the arrival of lucrative highly-prized goods; some of which are never seen before. With the Emperor seeing the advantage of having a parter wielding such naval prowess, another fleet is dispatched hoping to reduce tariffs and trading barriers (especially in transactions pertaining to firearms and gunpowder weapons) between the two ( PLAYER RESPONSE ). Upon hearing of the Japanese conquest of the Cheondo islands (which at the time was still a Chinese colony), a letter is sent to the Shogun threatening to launch punitive expedition should it not be ceded back. Knowing that these demands would most likely be left not addressed, a naval outpost of three hundred colonists is established on the island of Urup. With the already strained bilateral relationship further exacerbated by puny insults aimed at the Emperor, all affairs with Japan are shut down to deprive the their access to mainland markets. Any Koreans and their properties are hastily withdrawn from Japan. Similarly, all Japanese expatriates are forcibly expelled, while the Japanese embassy in Hanseong, along with a field of chrysanthemum, are burnt to ash. A garden filled with the blossoms of the rose of sharon and the statue of a phoenix is symbolically built. An offer is sent to remaining wokou pirates to purposely raid Japanese settlements under the banner of the House of Kim, and would in-turn be granted special protection ( MOD RESPONSE ). Despite this, the Emperor knows he cannot rely on proxies to deal with the Japanese alone. Naval presence on the already militarized Korea strait is further consolidated, with sailors being told to be alert of any hostile incursions into Korean territory. More naval vessels and arms are built, with the arsenal in Busan being upsized. Usual militarization, naval development, and economic policies persist.


 * Test algorithm

TL plan

 * Point-of-divergence(s)
 * Japan does not exit tributary system, and the Qing exercises de facto suzerainty (thus affairs concerning Japan are brought to the Qing court)
 * this allowed the enforcement of sakoku policy
 * Matthew C. Perry lands on the port of Kanagawa, but are redirected by local officials to China


 * Cheoljong's children survive infancy, thus he has a heir upon his death in 1863
 * similar instances, foul play by the Andong Kim clan
 * Andong Kim clan plans Queen Cheorin (a member of that clan) to be regent to secure power


 * however, the designation right fell to Queen Sinjeong (a member of a rival clan), prompting Queen Cheorin to kill her (and thus, as the wife of the former King she had the power to choose the successor)
 * she picks her son (Yi Han-do) (rather than Gojong, and thus Heungseon Daewongun does not become regent)
 * dowager Queen Cheorin becomes regent until he came of age in 1867


 * the radical isolationist reforms of Heungseon Daewongun is avoided, but a milder one is still in-place


 * in the 1860s, with a submissive foreign policy, the United States and France impose unequal treaties and open Korea to trade

Yalu front (1561)

 * Pre-war stage
 * Korea (attacking)
 * Result – +65.5
 * Location – +0% change (zero penalties)
 * Population – +42 (10.5 million)
 * Government – +7
 * Economy – +6.5 (Tier IV)
 * Technology – +10 (Tier III)
 * Manchuria (defending)
 * Result – +16
 * Location – +0% change (zero penalties)
 * Population – +4 (1 million at most)
 * Government – +5
 * Economy – +2 (Tier I)
 * Technology – +5 (Tier I)


 * Battle stage
 * Korea (attacking)
 * Result – +9.1
 * Troops – +15 (50,000)
 * Location – +2
 * GG/GL/GA – N/A
 * Blunder – -4
 * Attrition – -30% (Moderate winter, contested mountain passing)
 * Manchuria (defending)
 * Result – +2
 * Troops – +3 (10,000)
 * Location – +2
 * GG/GL/GA – N/A
 * Blunder – -3


 * Casualties
 * Korea (victors)
 * 50,000 * (100 - 0.02) = 49,000 survivors
 * Manchuria (losers)
 * 10,000 * (100 - 0.75) = 2,500 survivors


 * Final stage
 * Korea – 65.5 (-0) = +65.5
 * Manchuria – 16 (-7.1) = +8.9
 * 736% in favour of Korea (Battle Tier III)

Yalu front (1562)

 * Pre-war stage
 * Korea (attacking)
 * Result – +65.5
 * Location – +0% change (zero penalties)
 * Population – +42 (10.5 million)
 * Government – +7
 * Economy – +6.5 (Tier IV)
 * Technology – +10 (Tier III)
 * Manchuria (defending)
 * Result – +16
 * Location – +0% change (zero penalties)
 * Population – +4 (1 million at most)
 * Government – +5
 * Economy – +2 (Tier I)
 * Technology – +5 (Tier I)


 * Battle stage
 * Korea (attacking)
 * Result – +9.3
 * Troops – +14.7 (48,000)
 * Location – +2
 * GG/GL/GA – N/A
 * Blunder – -5
 * Attrition – -25% (light moderate winter; contested mountain passing)
 * Result – +1
 * Troops – +0.75 (2,500)
 * Location – +2
 * GG/GL/GA – N/A
 * Blunder – -4


 * Casualties
 * Korea
 * 49,000 * (100 - 0.02) = 48,020 survivors
 * Manchuria (losers)
 * 2,500 * (100 - 0.75) = 625 survivors


 * Final stage
 * Korea (victors)
 * 65.5 = 65.5
 * Manchuria (losers)
 * 16 - (9.3 - 1) = 7.7
 * 851% in favour of Korea (Battle Tier III)

Manchuria is occupied.