Whereas the period 1945-79 appears to be marked by a series of trends which amounted to "more of the same", it sometimes seems that the course of history changed direction dramatically around the end of the '70s. However, these changes really began with much smaller-scale events considerably earlier than that, and in fact there would need to be quite a number of PODs for this to be possible.

This alternate history is not an attempt to imagine the 1970s continuing indefinitely. The world of the present day is as different in this timeline from the world of 1979 as it is in our own. However, in general it has changed in accordance with the trends apparent from the postwar period rather than appearing to change direction. The major trends considered are as follows:

Trends investigated in the Caroline Timeline
Our Timeline Caroline Timeline
Moore's Law - exponential increase in computing power Vannevar's Law - linear increase in computing power
Assassination of John Lennon Survival of John Lennon
Militant Tendency in the UK Labour Party UK Labour Party stays moderate
Popularity of Punk movement Punk movement brief and obscure
Spread of AIDS to the developed world AIDS stays in Africa
Post-war consensus breaks down Post-war consensus continues
Queen Elizabeth II did not abdicate Queen abdicated in Charles III's favour (hence the name of the history).
Reaganomics continues Democrats win 1983 US Presidential election Reaganomics is abandoned
Cold War and Stalinism collapse Cold War and Stalinism continue

Points of Divergence

There are a total of nine PODs, illustrating the improbability of the 1970s continuing. Having said that, several of them operate on a hair trigger and could easily have gone the other way. Here they are in chronological order:

1820 - Augustus De Morgan's mathematical ability remains undiscovered by the family friend and he goes on to become a Unitarian Minister.

1907 - James Murray Spangler is able to market the domestic vacuum cleaner successfully and does not sell the patent to Hoover. As a result, the design of the Spangler, as it is known in the Caroline Timeline, is different, there are a number of surprising innovations and Mark Chapman succeeds in committing suicide before shooting John Lennon

1910s - Ted Grant's parents do not separate and he does not become radicalised by her lodger.

1918 - Lucia Santos dies in the Spanish influenza epidemic, taking the Third Secret of Fatima with her to the grave.

1948 - Malcolm McLaren's parents do not separate, his aunt is less influential on his life and he fails to market punk.

24th May 1959 - Francois Duvalier correctly judges his insulin dose and does not suffer a heart attack or psychosis-inducing brain damage. Haiti does not become an authoritarian regime and there is no Haitian diaspora.

27th August 1979 - Lord Louis Mountbatten's wife persuades him not to take the boat out lobster fishing in County Sligo and he is not assassinated. Amanda Knatchbull, his daughter, marries the Prince of Wales, and Mountbatten persuades Queen Elizabeth II of England to abdicate in Charles's favour in 1983.

30th March 1981 - Ronald Reagan is assassinated by John Hinckley Jr.

The result of all this is a world resulting from the same trends which applied up until the end of the '70s, as different from the 1970s as OTL but also as different from OTL as the 1970s.

Caroline Timeline

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